An Ecological Crises: The old is dying and the new cannot be born.
1. Introduction
The world is faced with two immediate and imminent threats.
On the one hand the rising levels of inequality has emerged as a grave threat
to social stability and sustainable development, while a warming planet and a
changing climate not only presents the possibility where the “planetary order upon which all societies are
built starts breaking down” (Malm, 2017) , as temperatures
sour and stressed populations become increasingly anxious about their survival
and their future, but also presents the possibility of increasing climate
catastrophe`s which will continue to place the lives of millions at risk.
According to some reports, we are speeding towards a four to
five degree global temperature rise in the next few decades, “a prospect which could annihilate large
sections of the world’s population, particularly those most vulnerable in
Africa” (Hallowes, 2012) .
As Vishwas Satgar notes, despite numerous warnings –
scientific studies, United Nations (UN) declarations, books, movies,
progressive media reporting – global leadership has failed humanity. After more
than twenty years of multilateral negotiations, we have not developed the
solutions to solve the climate crisis decisively. Instead, Satgar contends that
we have continued emitting pollutants and intensively using fossil fuels and,
as a result, have been recording the hottest years on the planet. “The last two decades in the fight against
the climate crisis have merely confirmed, at a common-sense level, an
Anthropocene-centred theory: as a geological force, we humans are heating the
planet. A heating planet, induced by human action, unhinges all our certainties
and places everything in jeopardy”. (Satgar, 2018)
The record of outcomes of 20 conferences held since the
first COP in Berlin, Germany in 1995, with the most significant erosion of
commitments and erosion of enfranchisement, taking place in Copenhagen in 2009,
does not inspire confidence, and indeed, the lack of global action adds impetus
to the calls for urgent action. The
Copenhagen conference which evolved into an exercise of exclusion and which
ultimately dispensed with binding emissions reductions in favour of non-binding
‘bottom-up’ pledges, has been roundly
condemned as a failure. Beyond the Copenhagen conference, the multilateral
negotiations process has failed to prevent dangerous climate change indicators
from ticking upward and the recent COP 21 also proved to be ‘business as usual’. The failure has
mainly been due to the rich countries that carry historical liability for a
looming climate change catastrophe, refusing to take responsibility for leading
the charge in reducing the dangerous levels of Green House Gases (GHG).
2. The
Shape of the Crises.
According to radical feminist group WoMin, the fossil fuel industry
and industrial corporations, financiers and related elite interests have
captured UN institutions and processes over the last decades, and the (The
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change) UNFCCC negotiations are
no exception (WoMin, 2018) . According to WoMin,
COP 21, like its predecessors, failed to address the “disease of climate crisis at its roots”, which is, “fossil-based energy production, car-based
private transport and ubiquitous air travel, sprawling urbanisation, the
liberalised global trade regime, industrialised agriculture, and
over-consumption in the Global North” (including parts of the geographical
South). Instead, they argue that COP 21 affirmed false solutions, many of which
present significant “social and
technological dangers”, like the failing carbon markets and offsets,
nuclear energy, ‘clean’ coal, big dams, natural gas, agro-fuels, weather
modification, geo-engineering, and Carbon Capture and Storage.
With systemic threats becoming ever more critical, such as
extinction of species through loss of biodiversity; acid rain; destruction of
the ozone layer; desertification; pollution of oceans; contamination of lakes,
rivers and streams; dispossession of people’s land; overfishing; hazardous
working conditions; incineration of waste; famines and breaching all planetary
ecological limits, there is an increasing realisation that all this
demonstrates how the climate crisis is not only driven by a capitalist
political economy, but is also about a new resistance that is rising at the
frontlines of preventing extraction of fossil fuels and also in the context of
climate justice struggles. (Klein, 2014) .
According to Satgar the agency of the climate justice
movement and a host of other anti-systemic forces that are rising to advance
systemic alternatives have encapsulated the challenge facing the world in the
slogan ‘System Change, Not Climate
Change’ (Satgar, 2018) .
Echoing the sentiment of some of the more radical critiques
of the environmental crises and the system that underpins it, Patrick Bond
argues that the system produces a triple externalization of costs which ‘takes
the form of an extraction of surpluses, both economic and thermodynamic: 1) a
social debt to inadequately paid workers; 2) an embodied debt to women family
caregivers; and 3) an ecological debt drawn on nature at large.’ (Bond, 2012)
At minimum, Bond argues, addressing these problems requires
full-fledged re-accounting to toss out the fatally-flawed GDP indicator, and to
internalize environment and society in the ways we assess costs and benefits.
This exercise would logically both precede and catalyze a full-fledged transformation
of financing, extraction, production, transport and distribution, consumption
and disposal systems.(Ibid)
Attempts to separate out possible solutions to the climate
crises from those activities which entrench and deepen the crises has led to a
distinction between the Green Economy and transformative solutions which seek a
Just Transition to renewable energy sources.
The green economy,
according to Brian Ashley, is a process of “marketising,
commercialising and commodifying nature” as a strategy to drive investment
into fixing the damage capitalism, marketisation, commercialisation and
commodification have done to the environment. This way of thinking, he suggests,
was well captured by Janez Potočnik, former European Union Environment Commissioner,
who on the eve of the Rio+20 Summit, argued that: ‘We need to move from protecting the environment from business to using
business to protect the environment’ (Ashley, 2017)
Yet, Ashley argues, it is this approach of trying to develop
a profit incentive strategy for dealing with the environmental and climate
crisis that has been so detrimental to finding real solutions. A decade of
potential action has been lost through false solutions such as carbon markets,
the Clean Development Mechanism, reducing emissions from deforestation and
forest degradation and other mechanisms for the commodification of the
biosphere. That decade, suggests Ashley, has seen no slowdown in the deepening
of the climate crisis. It is precisely in this era of the green economy that
GHG emissions have increased and that we have had the sharpest increases in
temperature.
3. Climate
Denial?
If fully implemented and all its assumptions turn out to be
valid the “too little, too late”
non-binding Paris agreement will result in a world at least 3.5 degree Celsius
(6.3 degrees Fahrenheit) warmer by 2100 than pre-industrial levels. That is, it
is “recipe for climate disaster”,
according to Kamran Nayeri of the University of California, Berkeley. (Nayeri, 2016) Nayeri argues that the Paris agreement
by-and-large reflects an understanding reached between President Obama and
President Xi Jinping in Beijing in November 2014. Currently, China and the
United States are responsible for about 55% of GHG`s each year. They reached this agreement, Nayeri suggests,
because of the increasing risk climate crisis poses to both economies as well
as domestic pressure in the U.S. by the climate justice movement.
However, on June 1, 2017, United States President Donald
Trump announced that the U.S. would cease all participation in the 2015 Paris
Agreement on climate change mitigation. Trump stated that "The Paris accord will undermine (the U.S.)
economy," and "puts (the
U.S.) at a permanent disadvantage." (Chakraborty, 2017) During the
presidential campaign, Trump had pledged to withdraw from the pact, saying a
withdrawal would help American businesses and workers. (Cama,T;Henry,D,
2017)
Trump stated that the withdrawal would be in accordance with his America First
policy. (Easley, 2017)
Environmental groups, such as the Sierra Club and Natural
Resources Defence Council, condemned Trump's decision. (Thomson,
2017) (NRDC, 2017) American
environmentalist and writer Bill McKibben, the founder of the climate change
action group 350.org, called the move "a
stupid and reckless decision—our nation's dumbest act since launching the war
in Iraq." McKibben wrote that Trump's decision to withdraw amounted
"to a thorough repudiation of two of
the civilizing forces on our planet: diplomacy and science." He called
upon U.S. states and cities to "double
down" on commitments to renewable energy. (McKibben,
2017)
4. Revolt
in a Warming World
In a report, Climate
Change and Labour: Impacts of Heat in the Workspace, several union
federations and UN branches draw attention to what might be the most universal
and the most widely ignored experience of global warming: “it is getting hotter at work” (Mckinnon,M; Buckle,E; Gueye,K; et
al, 2016) .
Andreas Malm uses the report to build a case for the
possibility that a rising global temperature places additional strain on social
institutions and unpicks the threads of social cohesion that holds societies
together and foreshadows the increasing possibility of a rise of what he calls
“ecological fascism”. (Malm, 2017)
Every little rise in average temperature, helps to shift the
dynamics undergirding existing social relations and is likely, according to the
report, to increase the existing contradictions and may lead to uprisings,
revolutions and counter revolutions. Malm argues that “if there is an overarching logic of the capitalistic mode of production
through which rising temperatures will be articulated, it would probably be
that of uneven and combined development.” While a small elite continues to
accumulate vast amounts of wealth, people stuck in those “external-but-internalized” relations will enjoy few if any of the benefits
and might not even come close to the threshold of wage labour.
Malm argues that if a catastrophe descends on such a
society- deeply divided and deeply integrated– chances are that it starts breaking
apart along some of the cracks. He uses various examples in history and
contemporary society, such as the civil war in Syria sparked by water scarcity,
The revolution in Egypt, fuelled and managed by what he calls the deep state,
which managed the scarcity of oil, bread and electricity to fuel the uprising
against the then ruler of Egypt, the Russian revolution sparked by the food
shortages as a result of World War 1 and the climate rebellion in the Levant
captured by Sam White in The Climate
Rebellion in the Early Modern Ottoman Empire.(Ibid)
It is this realisation of the potential of catastrophe and scarcity
that prompts the Pentagon to refer to climate change as a “threat multiplier”. Even Vladimir Lenin spoke of the catastrophe of
his time, the food shortages brought about by WWI, as a “mighty accelerator” bringing all contradictions to a head. In the
same way, Malm argues that climate change is likely to be the accelerator of
the twenty first century, speeding up the contradictions of late capitalism.
(Ibid)
If scarcity and catastrophe are the lynchpins of revolutions
and rebellion, by the same token, they are also likely to spark
counter-revolutions and heighten inclinations and support for greater law and
order and stability.
Using a study by Lars T.Lih entitled, Bread and Authority in Russia, 1914 -1921, Malm highlights how Lih
shows that the lack of food not only propelled the Bolsheviks to power but also
prompted them to develop the authoritarian tendencies that would later devour
them. Malm suggests that Lih argues that
the choice by the Bolsheviks to subjugate the experiment in direct democracy,
that they had promoted as part of the Bolshevik revolution, to the rule of the
Party, was forced upon them by the situation of severe food shortages and
economic anarchy.
In part, the soviets (communes and factory committees), who
were promised “all power to the soviets”
had the interests of their own constituencies at heart, held back grain from
the cities, forcing the Party to implement bureaucratic means to control the
supply of grain and food into the cities. It is here that paradoxically the
seeds of counter revolution were sown. Lih suggests that it was precisely the
ruthless and consistent centralisation of the food system that prevented a
total breakdown of the system, that laid the foundation for a Stalinist counter
revolution. (Ibid)
“Rough beasts and
bloated bureaucracies” are the outcomes of counter revolution according to
Malm, which are triggered by rebellions, revolutions and dissent. The broader
danger lurking here might be labelled “ecological
fascism” according to Malm. He points to a growing rise of fascistic logic
in the public discourse as proof of this imminent possibility. (Ibid)
Referring to “Climate
Challenge and the Failure of Democracy”, Malm points to the work of
Australian scholars, David Sherman and Joseph Wayne Smith who argue that: “freedom is not the most fundamental value
and is merely one value among others”. Survival, they argue, “strikes us as a much more basic value”.
Rigid hierarchy is the true nature of the human species they argue, especially
as climate change puts survival of the human species in question. The Human
brain, according to Sherman and Smith, is hard wired for authoritarianism based
on dominance and submission. (Ibid)
It is thus that as the climate heats up, and as societal
fault lines are put under pressure by the rising temperatures, disasters,
shortages, famines and catastrophe’s, that the rise of an increasing threat to
democracy becomes a reality.
In short, climate change is set to impact more than just the
temperature and environment, indeed it threatens to upend the very foundations
of a democratic society.
5. What
are the Alternatives?
Feminist. Greta Gaard of the University of Wisconsin argues
that to date, the climate change discourse has not accurately presented the
gendered character of first-world planetary overconsumption. She cites as an example of this position,
using a prominent symbol from the Copenhagen Climate Conference of the Parties
(COP 15) in December 2009 which depicts an obese “Justitia, Western Goddess of Justice” riding on the back of an
emaciated black man. She also points to other artworks for the conference,
where a group of starving African male bodies was installed in a wide river. The
image of Justitia was captioned, “I'm
sitting on the back of a man—he is sinking under the burden—I will do
everything to help him—except to step down from his back”
Figure 1 (Gaard, 2015)
2010, 8). Allegedly
an artwork referencing the heavy climate change burden carried by the global
South, and the climate debt owed by the overconsuming global North. From a feminist
perspective, she argues that the missing critique is that the genders are
reversed: “women produce the majority of
the world's food, yet the majority of the world's hungry are women and children,
not men. And the overconsumption of earth's other inhabitants—plants, animals,
ecosystems—is not even visibly depicted”. (Gaard, 2015)
Gaard argues that climate change and first world overconsumption
are produced by masculinist ideology and will not be solved by masculinist
techno-science approaches. Instead, she proposes, queer feminist post humanist
climate justice perspectives at the local, national, and global levels are
needed to intervene and transform both our analyses and our solutions to
climate change.
Others, like (Bond, 2012) (Klein, 2014) (Ashley, 2017) (Hallowes,
2012) (Malm, 2017) (Satgar, 2018) (WoMin, 2018) (Cock, 2018) , go even further to suggest that the entire
system and the social relations of overconsumption, exploitation and
accumulation of surplus value needs to changed.
Bond argues for a rethink of the entire basis upon which the
value of commodities extracted from the earth, the environment and from human
labour are calculated. At minimum, he suggests that addressing these problems
requires a new articulation of the way we calculate and account for the value of
the eco system. In short, he calls for the complete rejection of the “fatally-flawed GDP indicator”, and to “internalize environment and society in the
ways we assess costs and benefits”. In order to transform the financing,
extraction, production, transport and distribution, consumption and disposal
systems. But, he cautions, it is only in the struggle for transformation that
we learn how institutions of power hold fast to their privileges, and why
genuine change won’t happen through mere tampering with national income
accounts. (Bond, 2012)
Radical organisations such as WoMin have argued that we should
uphold the lived alternatives in agro-ecology and food sovereignty of peasants;
of natural resource stewardship by fisher folk, forest dwellers and indigenous
peoples; and the labour of care by women in all of their diversity across the
globe. Yet they caution that women are also concerned about a corporate-led,
profit oriented renewable energy system (solar, agro-fuel and large hydro)
which does not present a real alternative to traditional fossil-based energy.
Like fossil fuels themselves, this for-profit model of renewable energy is
already causing large-scale land dispossession, the transfer of vast tracts of
land from food to energy production, and the reproduction of deep inequalities
in energy access. It is Africa’s more than 500-million peasant and
working-class women, they argue, that carry the burden of immediate and
long-term impacts of both fossil fuels extraction and energy production, and
the false solutions to the climate crisis, including corporatized renewable
energy. This they claim is because of
the patriarchal-capitalist division of labour, where greater responsibility for
agricultural production and social reproduction of families and communities are
placed on women, and where women`s structural exclusion from decision-making in
families, communities, national governments and multilateral institutions are
systemic. (WoMin, 2018)
These sentiments are echoed by Jacklyn Cock of Wits University
who argues that “there is no blueprint
for a democratic eco-feminist-socialism”. Such an alternative, she claims,
has to be built from the bottom up in a process of extensive, democratic
participation where, several core values which contrast with the values of neoliberalism,
such as materialism and an intense individualism, could provide a kind of
compass for a vision of an alternative social order. (Cock, 2018)
Brian Ashley presents a raft of practical proposals to
advance the move towards a fossil free renewable energy regime. He argues that
technically we already have all the technology we need to overcome the crises.
The problem, he suggests, is that “action
on climate change is political, not technological”. (Ashley, 2017)
The governments of the world, he argues, say they cannot act
because it would ‘cost too much’. But
“the cost would be the wages paid to
workers to construct new renewable energy systems, public transport routes,
buildings, etc”. In this instance, he suggests that ‘cost’ means jobs, yet
jobs mean so much more than people just working. “They mean dignity and giving expression to our creativity, and they
establish the basis for our society’s overall welfare”. Ashley argues “that just as there are unpaid externalities
in the form of pollution from industrial processes, so there are unpaid
externalities from the unemployment crisis in the form of crime, gangsterism,
substance abuse, violence against women and children, and depression, which
society has to bear”. (Ibid)
Ashley refers extensively to Jeff Rudin, a research
associate with the Alternative Information and Development Centre, who argues
that it is important to bear in mind that the Green Economy is neither separate
nor new. Rather, according to Rudin, it is simply an extension of the same
economic system that is responsible for climate change. One in which the
competition for profit leads to unending and limitless compound growth. The
Green Economy, suggests Rudin, simply extends this competition for profit into
activities associated with clearing up and containing ecological destruction.
It does not challenge or supplant the fossil fuel economy. Instead “it provides ideological cover for the
reproduction and continuation of that economy”. It does this “by creating the illusion that something is
being done about climate change”. But the impact the green economy has on
reducing and mitigating climate change is totally insignificant compared to
what is needed to prevent a terrible global crisis affecting both the whole of
humanity and the planet. “The green
economy distracts us from the radical changes that are needed to prevent this
from happening. In that way, it is part of the problem, not the solution”. (Ashley, 2017)
According to Ashley, climate jobs, as opposed to green
economy jobs which merely mitigate existing bad practises and which in the long
run is unsustainable, involve building renewable solar, wind, wave, tidal
current and other power-generation options. Climate jobs also include work
related to the building of a safe and efficient public transport network that
would help reduce the number of cars and trucks on the road. Other areas
include renovating and insulating buildings, transforming industrial
agriculture, reforming production and consumption, and increasing energy
efficiency. Additionally, water and sanitation have many climate change links,
many but not all of which would create jobs. According to Ashley, significant
jobs would be created in the related areas of research, education and training
to ensure the country has the skills to undertake the transition to a
low-carbon, labour absorbing and socially developed sustainable future economy.
Ashley, who heads up a campaign for climate jobs, claims that The Million Climate Jobs Campaign study”
found that, given the political will, over three million jobs of varying
quality could be created in combating the emission of GHGs and building the
resilience of communities to withstand climate change (Ibid)
Ashley`s contention that alternative approaches to climate
justice and climate jobs is affirmed to some extent by a soon to be published
research study undertaken by Pontsho Ledwaba of Wits University, to which this
writer has contributed. The study which is due to be published in 2020 focuses
on the livelihood strategies of artisanal miners in South Africa and points to
the potential for artisanal mining to be developed as a practical and immediate
alternative to the current fossil fuel intensive and environmentally
destructive industrialised mining model (Ledwaba, 2019) . Artisanal mining,
also offers new models for distributing resources in more equalitarian ways
that not only promotes and enhances social equality, provides dignity and work
to the unemployed and marginalised, but also mitigates the worst effects of the
industrialised large-scale mining processes which have destroyed much of the
environment in South Africa and across the world.
Significantly, the
research points toward several possibilities and conclusions which not only
debunks some of the more unfounded claims made by corporate mining interests,
but which brings into stark relief the wholly ineffective contribution of the
corporate mining sector to resolving the most urgent environmental and social needs
of the South African Economy.
If we use the Minerals Council estimate that informal mining
accounts for about R8billion per year (0.2% of Total revenue in the mining
sector) in revenue, and assume that the sector employs over 100 000 people,
then an extrapolation of those numbers presents us with an economic reality
that demands the full attention of government and society.
Currently the formal
mining sector employs just over 400 000 people and generated a revenue of
approximately R380 billion in 2017. This implies that informal mining accounts
for 0,2% of the mining sector but employs 100 000 people. If this were then
extrapolated and we were to assume that the informal sector was encouraged to
grow to 10% of the mining sector then all things being equal, the informal
sector has the potential to not only create 5 million jobs, but also introduce
mechanisms to share the wealth of the country more equitably to overcome
inequality and reduce GHG`s.
According to former Energy Minister Jeff Radebe, the mining
industry is a major consumer of energy and is responsible for more than 38% of
the total industrial energy use, which translates into the consumption of 19%
of coal and coal products, 5% of all gas products, and 2% of the global oil
supply. “In Southern Africa, the energy intensive users group alone consumes
over 40% of electricity produced in South Africa. About 48% of the energy
intensive users in South Africa are from the mining sector…with over 75% of
energy used in South Africa generated from coal”. (Radebe, 2019)
At the very least, growing the Artisanal Mining sector
through proper regulation could add at least a million jobs to the economy,
reduce GHG emissions while ensuring employment and social inclusion. How such a
significant contribution to Climate Justice, overcoming unemployment, poverty
and advancing social, economic and environmental transformation can be
overlooked, is deeply connected to the elite bias of our society and the way
that marginalised people are systemically excluded from the mainstream economy
and public discourse.
These are a few of the many different but inherently
consistent climate change proposals which have been lingering along the
side-lines of the political institutions tasked with managing our society out
of the anthropogenic induced catastrophe, but which have been largely ignored
under pressure from entrenched interests in the mineral’s energy complex.
6. Conclusion
Whatever the technological tools and mechanisms utilised to
drag our society back from the brink of a catastrophic series of disasters, one
thing seems to be particularly clear to a growing portion of civil society; “a new type of thinking is essential if mankind
is to survive and move toward higher levels”, as Einstein once implored (Einstein, 1946)
The issue of energy and climate change is integrally linked
to democracy according to Michelle Williams. According to Williams, the link
between nature and democracy occurs through the way in which mega corporations,
most importantly in the energy sector, shaped (and continue to shape) politics
and economics in the twentieth century. The sourcing, processing, distributing,
subsidising and consuming of energy governs the way in which we live, the way
in which we are governed and the way in which we organise our economy,
including the way we produce and consume. (Williams, 2018)
Williams contends that the energy mix (dominated by fossil fuels)
has had devastating effects on the environment and has induced an anthropogenic
climate change. Nonetheless she argues that “alternatives are available that are not only better for the environment
(e.g. renewables) but are also more democratic (e.g. collective ownership and
democratic planning)”. When we speak of alternatives today, she proposes,
we are looking beyond the twentieth-century experiments of narrow liberal
democracy. “Democracy and democratic planning
are central to any vision of an alternative rooted in local conditions, the
aspirational values of ordinary people and the ecological limits of our times”,
she contends. (Ibid)
Williams nonetheless acknowledges that “the relation between energy and democracy is complex”, with the
nature of the energy source (e.g. coal versus oil versus renewables), the
organisation of its extraction and production (e.g. labour requirements versus
mechanisation), and the linkages across sectors (e.g. mining, manufacturing,
transport) and between production and consumption shaping the possibilities for
democratic claims making. Renewable energy, she argues, not only operates on a
totally different paradigm, it also provides immense possibilities for
democratic claims in the political and economic spheres. A socially owned
renewable energy sector could, according to Williams, deepen the just
transition towards a more democratic and equal society.
In closing, we should turn to Gramsci who outlined the ways
in which hegemony – (“adhesion of an
elite to a particular view of governance, considered as a type of collective
society to which the entire mass must be educated”) - is obtained and the
ways in which it wanes. “The crisis
consists precisely in the fact that the old is dying and the new cannot be born” (Gramsci,
1999)
and it is the interregnum, where a “great
variety of morbid symptoms appear”, that we have to be most guarded. As
Gramsci warns, “the death of the old
ideologies takes the form of scepticism with regard to all theories and general
formulae”. Yet it is precisely this turn to scepticisms that should alert
us to the historical “possibility and
necessity of creating a new culture”. (Ibid)
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